Anytime in 2009 might be a Mortgage Shopper's perfect time to buy your first home or your first investment property, as long as you are ready to hold the property for several years before selling.
Recent low interest rates and falling property prices combined with Government initiatives have made entering the property market much easier now, particularly for first home buyers. Yet there is no stampede to buy and this is great when you are a buyer. You will get a better choice and buy a better home for less money. And some pundits say that house prises in Brisbane are set to fall and this market has held prices over a long period of low sales, and long sales cycles.
Both Federal and State Governments are making it easy to buy, and they need to if we are to see a recovery from the recession.
Since September 2008 the Reserve Bank of Australia has cut the cash rate by 3 percentage points to a seven-year-low of 4.25 per cent. That is massive in four months and another big cut is looming in February 2009.
In October, the Federal Government doubled the first home owners grant to $14,000 for used homes, and increased it to $21,000 for buying or building a new home to aid the building industry.
Some are predicting the official cash rate to be as low as 2.5 per cent in June, while many market economists predict at least another one percentage point cut in total by the central bank.
"Mortgage holders in the coming year are likely to benefit from the lowest variable interest rates ever offered in Australia as the cash rate could fall to 2.5 per cent.''
The Housing Industry Association (HIA) has forecast a recovery in the property market in the second half of 2009.
Happy hunting Mortgage Shoppers!
Friday, January 23, 2009
Monday, December 15, 2008
How low will mortgage rates go?
With economic conditions around the World deteriorating, it is likely there are more cuts to come as the RBA pulls out all the stops to try to avoid Australia dipping into recession. A big ask, but not impossible.
While that is good news for borrowers, experts who research the lenders say that even bigger savings can be made by shopping around with other lenders.
While going to a mortgage broker is convenient, be careful because they do not always offer the best deals.
Consumer watchdog Choice recently shopped around on behalf of three borrowers. It found the best deals came through switching to mortgages offered by credit unions and the online lending channels of the big banks. However, these deals were not always offered through mortgage brokers. Choice found credit unions and building societies have, on average, "lower variable interest rates and lower fees than the Big Four banks".
Frank Lopez, an analyst with researcher Cannex, says those who took out fixed-rate mortgages before the middle of the year when the expectation was for rate increases would be kicking themselves now rates are falling. "Borrowers on fixed rates likely face huge break costs if they want to get out to take advantage of further possible rate cuts," he says.
They need to carefully consider whether the savings in interest rates will outweigh the break costs.
With interest rates likely to fall further, choosing variable rates looks like the better option.
MORE FOR THE MONEY
Markets are pricing in rate cuts that will take the cash rate to 3.75 per cent during the next six months.
The Reserve Bank has indicated it is prepared to cut even further to head off the worst of the global financial crisis.
AMP Capital Investor's chief economist Shane Oliver says the cash rate will most probably reach a low of 3.75 per cent by September next year but the Reserve Bank may have to cut even more.
"Unfortunately, it now looks like we are on the way to a mild recession," Oliver says.
"The threat to growth domestically is far more significant than was the case when interest rates were lowered to 4.25 per cent in 2001, which was the last low for interest rates."
CommSec chief equities economist Craig James is expecting the cash rate to be cut by another 0.25 percentage point next month. The Reserve Bank may then "sit back and see what the impact is on the economy".
He says the Reserve Bank may have to reduce rates again next year and the cash rate may have to be cut to 4.5 per cent.
"The speed of developments has taken everybody by surprise," James says.
"Midyear the Reserve Bank still thought that the next move in rates would be up rather than down." However, it is possible that things could turn up just as quickly as they have turned down. But don't bet your mortgage on it.
While that is good news for borrowers, experts who research the lenders say that even bigger savings can be made by shopping around with other lenders.
While going to a mortgage broker is convenient, be careful because they do not always offer the best deals.
Consumer watchdog Choice recently shopped around on behalf of three borrowers. It found the best deals came through switching to mortgages offered by credit unions and the online lending channels of the big banks. However, these deals were not always offered through mortgage brokers. Choice found credit unions and building societies have, on average, "lower variable interest rates and lower fees than the Big Four banks".
Frank Lopez, an analyst with researcher Cannex, says those who took out fixed-rate mortgages before the middle of the year when the expectation was for rate increases would be kicking themselves now rates are falling. "Borrowers on fixed rates likely face huge break costs if they want to get out to take advantage of further possible rate cuts," he says.
They need to carefully consider whether the savings in interest rates will outweigh the break costs.
With interest rates likely to fall further, choosing variable rates looks like the better option.
MORE FOR THE MONEY
Markets are pricing in rate cuts that will take the cash rate to 3.75 per cent during the next six months.
The Reserve Bank has indicated it is prepared to cut even further to head off the worst of the global financial crisis.
AMP Capital Investor's chief economist Shane Oliver says the cash rate will most probably reach a low of 3.75 per cent by September next year but the Reserve Bank may have to cut even more.
"Unfortunately, it now looks like we are on the way to a mild recession," Oliver says.
"The threat to growth domestically is far more significant than was the case when interest rates were lowered to 4.25 per cent in 2001, which was the last low for interest rates."
CommSec chief equities economist Craig James is expecting the cash rate to be cut by another 0.25 percentage point next month. The Reserve Bank may then "sit back and see what the impact is on the economy".
He says the Reserve Bank may have to reduce rates again next year and the cash rate may have to be cut to 4.5 per cent.
"The speed of developments has taken everybody by surprise," James says.
"Midyear the Reserve Bank still thought that the next move in rates would be up rather than down." However, it is possible that things could turn up just as quickly as they have turned down. But don't bet your mortgage on it.
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